CSRDA Discussion Paper Series

No. 105 Revisiting Marriage Market Mismatch: A Conjoint Survey Experiment Approach
Fumiya Uchikoshi, Yoshikuni Ono, Hirofumi Miwa, James M. Raymo
https://orcid.org/
0000-0002-4972-4275
Fumiya UchikoshiHarvard University
Yoshikuni OnoWaseda University
Hirofumi MiwaGakushuin University
https://orcid.org/
0000-0001-6766-685X
James M. RaymoPrinceton University
marriagemate selectionpartner preferencessurvey experiment
Goal 5: Gender EqualityGoal 10: Reduced Inequalities
an original survey experiment conducted by the authors

The delay and decline in union formation are of particular importance for understanding low fertility in societies characterized by a strong link between marriage and childbearing. While the so-called marriage market mismatch provides one compelling explanation for later and less marriage, there is a lack of consensus on how to measure partner preferences; moreover, studies that have relied on observational data suffer from a range of potential biases. To circumvent these limitations, we employ a conjoint survey experiment approach to examine how gender asymmetry in partner preferences may play a role in spouse selection by focusing on socioeconomic status in Japan. While our results confirm gender-specific partner preferences, we do not find strong evidence supporting heterogeneous preferences, which is a core assumption of the marriage market mismatch hypothesis. We also find that educational attainment plays a relatively limited role in partner preferences compared with other socioeconomic status measures.